Archive for July, 2009

Change Your Closing Date To Get A Lower Mortgage Rate

Closing dates impact mortgage ratesSometimes, saving money on your mortgage is as simple as picking a better closing date.It’s all about Rate Lock Commitments.

A Rate Lock Commitment is a bank’s promise to honor a specific mortgage rate for a specific period of time.  They are a lender’s prediction of what mortgage markets will look like at some point in the future.

The future is murky, of course, so it follows that the longer the rate lock, the higher the bank’s corresponding interest rate.

Banks have to compensate for “time risk”.

Rate locks typically come in 15-day increments with the 30-day lock serving as the basis for all other pricing:

  • 15-day rate lock : 1/8 percent lower than the 30-day rate lock
  • 30-day rate lock : The basis for all other pricing
  • 45-day rate lock : 1/8 percent higher than the 30-day rate lock
  • 60-day rate lock : 1/4 percent higher than the 30-day rate lock

These aren’t exact figures, of course.  Spreads between rates can (and do) vary from lender-to-lender.  On average, though, they’re fairly close.

This is why choosing a closing date is so important to your mortgage rate. A 45-day closing may reduce your rate 0.125% versus a 46-day one.

Assuming a $250,000 home loan near today’s rates, that’s an annual difference of $236.

So, when negotiating a contract on a home, keep in mind how rate locks work to make sure you get the best rate possible. The shorter the length of your rate lock commitment, the more money you might save long-term.

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5 Purchases To Make In A Down Economy


Down economies reduce consumer spending, creating a bind for retailers.  As excess inventory collects dust, companies have little choice but to drop prices in hopes of selling more product.

For the bargain shopper with extra cash right now, there are some terrific deals to be had out there.  This 4-minute piece from NBC’s The Today Show highlights a few of them.

  • Wines over $25 per bottle reduced up to 50%
  • High-quality diamonds reduced up to 30%
  • Summer rental homes reduced up to 50%

Furniture is another discounted item.

Now, these aren’t everyday-type purchases, but when the economy turns around for good, the bargain-priced items highlighted in the video are expected to return to their former price levels.

If you have the means, therefore, consider taking advantage while costs are down.

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Fannie Mae Restricts 2-Unit Borrowing

Fannie Mae puts LTV restrictions on 2-unit homesFor the first time in nearly six months, Fannie Mae is imposing strict, new guidelines on American homeowners.This time, the hardest hit demographic is owners of 2-unit homes.

In its official announcement, Fannie Mae listed the following changes to its 2-unit financing programs, separated by occupancy type.

Primary Residence

  • Purchase: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 80%; FICO minimums reset to 640.
  • Rate-and-Term Refinance: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 80%; FICO minimums reset to 640.
  • Cash Out Refinance: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 75%; FICO minimums reset to 680.

Investment Property

  • Purchase: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 75%; FICO minimums reset to 660.
  • Rate-and-Term Refinance: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 75%; FICO minimums reset to 660.
  • Cash Out Refinance: Maximum loan-to-value drops to 70%; FICO minimums reset to 680.

With Fannie Mae’s new loan-to-value limits falling by as much as 15 percent, it’s a certainty that fewer 2-unit homeowners will be approved in the mortgage process.  This could slow both purchase and refinance activity in the coming months.

The good news, though, is that while Fannie Mae recommends that lenders institute the new policy immediately, September 1, 2009, is the “effective date”.

Therefore, if you plan to buy a 2-unit home, or if you own one and know you’ll need to refinance it soon, it may be a good idea to move up your timeframe.

Lenders could implement the new guidelines at any time and usually do so without warning.

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How A Rising Unemployment Rate Can Help Mortgage Rates Fall

Unemployment Rate June 2009Last week’s jobs report is the latest data point to drag down rates for today’s home buyers and would-be refinancers.As reported by the government, the national Unemployment Rate rose to 9.5 percent in June — a 25-year high.

As the percentage of out-of-work Americans grows, households have less disposable income to pump back into the economy.

And so, because consumer spending accounts for two-third of the economy, the growing ranks of the unemployed are forcing markets to change expectations about when the U.S. economy will reach its full recovery.

Inflation is the enemy of mortgage rates.  The perceived absence of inflation, therefore, can be its friend.

With fewer working Americans, we can expect slower economic growth plus a smaller probability for inflation over the medium-term. This is why mortgage rates are lower of late, off by as much as a half-percent from the peak.

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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : July 6, 2009

Mortgage rates are tied to the US DollarMortgage markets were relatively calm throughout last week’s holiday-shortened trading sessions.After trading within a tight range between Monday and Wednesday, a weak jobs report helped edge rates lower into the weekend.

For the second week in a row, mortgage rates ended the week lower than where they started – if only slightly.

Meanwhile, if it’s the expectation of runaway economic growth that fueled the early-June, mortgage rate run-up past 6 percent, it’s the tempering of those expectations that helped rates retreat by a 1/2 percent or more since.

While the housing sector continues to post strong numbers, employment is showing that it may not rebound as quickly as previously thought and U.S. consumer confidence remains shaken.

The Unemployment Rate rose to its highest levels in 25 years last month and key confidence levels fell.

With negative job growth and falling consumer optimism, it only makes sense that mortgage rates would fall — fewer people are working and the public feels uneasy about spending its money.

This week — without much new data due — market momentum could push rates even lower.  In general, perceived weakness in the economy will be good for mortgage rates and strength will be bad.

However, there’s a wildcard.

This week, some of the world’s largest nations are expected to call on a replacement for the U.S. dollar as a global currency reserve.  Depending on how serious the discussion grows, the value of the U.S. dollar could be negatively impacted and that would spell bad news for rate shoppers.

A weakening U.S. dollar is linked to higher mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates remain favorable and unpredictable.  If today’s rates make sense for your household budget, consider locking in.  Rates won’t likely end the week at the same levels at which they started.

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For The 4th Straight Month, There’s An Increase In The Number Of Homes Under Contract

Pending Home Sales Index for May 2009

The number of homes under contract to sell increased in May.

It’s the fourth straight month in which sales volume increased, corroborating the growing notion that housing is on the mend in most U.S. markets.

Consider these other housing-related stories from the past month:

Put it all together and it looks like the housing market is about to reach its bottom (if it hasn’t already).

But just because homes are going under contract to sell doesn’t mean that they actually will sell.  A “deal” can fall apart for all sorts of reasons including failed home inspections, buyer-seller disputes, and mortgage-related problems.

In general, though, as the number of pending contracts increase, we find that Existing Home Sales rise, too, some 45-60 days into the future.  And so long as buyers’ demand for homes remains strong, we would expect that home prices edge higher.

It’s too soon to say that housing has turned the corner for certain, but there’s an awful lot of data lately that suggests that it has.

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Home Prices Show Improvement In 19 of the 20 Case-Shiller Markets

Case-Shiller monthly changes March to April 2009

Tuesday — for the first time in a long while — members of the press met the monthly Case-Shiller Index data with enthusiasm.  And why shouldn’t they?  19 of the 20 measured markets showed a slowing pace of home price decline in April.

Here are some of the headlines about the story:

Now, the headlines feel negative, but they’re actually highlighting some key strengths in April’s figures.  For example, nearly half of the Case-Shiller markets posted gains in April and all but one showed month-over-month improvement.

It’s a step in the right direction but doesn’t mean that housing has turned around for good.

We have to be careful about how we interpret the Case-Shiller Index because it’s an imperfect housing gauge.  The most obvious Case-Shiller flaw is that it only measures home values in 20 cities nationwide and they’re not even the 20 biggest cities.

Houston, Philadelphia, San Antonio and San Jose are excluded from the report and each ranks among the country’s 10 most populous areas.

That said, the report is still important because the Case-Shiller Index identifies broader housing trends and that helps to shape economic policy.

Not only versus last month but also versus last year, the pace at which home values are falling appears to be getting slower.  This is the third straight month Case-Shiller has reported as such.

Now, three months makes a trend, but the data has to stay strong through the summer months to mark a bona fide turnaround.  If the Case-Shiller Index shows strength for May and June, it could be the signal for which the markets have been waiting.

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